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奨励会三段リーグ勝敗シミュレーション

各棋士の勝数別確率を表示。10万回シミュレーション中の割合。

赤字：直接昇級確率、オレンジ：次点確率、黒字：昇級なし確率

勝数別昇級確率・発生確率

横にスクロールすると勝数別の確率を確認できます。

順位名前現在成績18勝17勝16勝15勝14勝13勝12勝11勝10勝9勝8勝7勝6勝5勝4勝3勝2勝1勝0勝
順位名前現在成績18勝17勝16勝15勝14勝13勝12勝11勝10勝9勝8勝7勝6勝5勝4勝3勝2勝1勝0勝
29花村晃斉4-0-
0.2%
1.2%
3.9%
0.1%
7.0%
2.0%
0.6%
2.7%
4.6%
9.2%
0.2%
20.6%
20.2%
14.9%
8.0%
3.3%
1.0%
0.2%
------
39渡邊晴磨4-0-
0.9%
3.8%
9.5%
0.3%
11.9%
3.9%
1.3%
3.1%
5.5%
13.1%
0.2%
20.3%
14.3%
7.6%
3.1%
0.9%
0.2%
-------
2國井勝太3-1-
0.2%
1.3%
5.0%
10.9%
0.6%
11.7%
5.1%
2.1%
2.0%
4.7%
15.5%
19.1%
12.3%
6.2%
2.4%
0.7%
0.1%
------
3村田楽3-1--
0.7%
2.9%
7.7%
0.6%
8.1%
4.9%
2.4%
1.3%
3.7%
16.2%
21.2%
15.7%
9.0%
3.9%
1.2%
0.3%
------
5永井大3-1-
0.1%
1.0%
4.2%
9.1%
1.1%
0.1%
8.0%
5.9%
3.9%
0.8%
2.8%
18.1%
19.9%
13.7%
7.1%
3.0%
0.9%
0.2%
------
6廣森航汰3-1--
0.8%
3.3%
7.6%
1.2%
0.2%
5.9%
5.6%
4.6%
0.5%
2.1%
18.6%
20.6%
15.2%
8.6%
3.6%
1.2%
0.3%
------
10北村啓太郎3-1--
0.3%
1.5%
4.2%
0.8%
0.2%
3.4%
3.8%
4.3%
0.2%
1.0%
16.9%
21.2%
19.0%
13.0%
6.7%
2.6%
0.7%
0.1%
-----
11福田晴紀3-1---
0.7%
2.0%
0.4%
1.9%
2.3%
2.8%
0.1%
0.6%
12.8%
19.6%
21.2%
17.5%
10.7%
5.0%
1.6%
0.4%
-----
16入馬尚輝3-1--
0.1%
0.7%
2.2%
0.5%
0.1%
1.8%
2.2%
3.3%
0.4%
13.8%
20.0%
21.5%
17.0%
10.1%
4.6%
1.4%
0.3%
-----
17木村友亮3-1--
0.2%
1.0%
2.7%
0.7%
0.2%
1.9%
2.6%
4.4%
0.4%
15.2%
20.7%
20.4%
15.5%
8.9%
3.9%
1.1%
0.2%
-----
24山口裕誠3-1---
0.3%
1.1%
0.3%
0.9%
1.4%
2.5%
0.2%
10.0%
17.1%
21.2%
19.9%
13.7%
7.5%
2.9%
0.8%
0.1%
----
1吉田桂悟2-2---
0.6%
2.7%
4.9%
2.0%
0.8%
1.4%
3.2%
10.0%
20.3%
21.2%
16.5%
9.9%
4.4%
1.5%
0.4%
-----
4鳥巣友希2-2---
0.4%
1.8%
0.2%
2.8%
2.1%
1.3%
0.5%
1.7%
10.9%
19.6%
21.7%
18.0%
11.3%
5.3%
1.9%
0.5%
-----
7吉田響太2-2---
0.3%
1.4%
0.2%
1.7%
1.8%
1.8%
0.2%
0.9%
10.6%
18.4%
21.4%
19.1%
12.5%
6.3%
2.4%
0.7%
0.1%
----
8宮原暁月2-2---
0.3%
1.3%
0.2%
1.5%
1.7%
1.8%
0.1%
0.7%
10.5%
18.2%
21.8%
19.3%
12.9%
6.4%
2.4%
0.7%
0.1%
----
12渋江朔矢2-2---
0.1%
0.7%
0.2%
0.8%
1.1%
1.6%
0.3%
8.1%
15.4%
20.5%
21.0%
15.8%
9.2%
3.8%
1.1%
0.2%
----
14祝井優希2-2---
0.2%
1.0%
0.2%
1.1%
1.4%
2.0%
0.3%
10.1%
17.5%
21.4%
19.9%
13.7%
7.3%
2.8%
0.7%
0.1%
----
19高坂直矢2-2----
0.4%
0.1%
0.5%
0.7%
1.2%
0.1%
6.3%
12.8%
19.2%
21.4%
17.9%
11.4%
5.3%
1.8%
0.4%
----
20戸川悠二郎2-2----
0.1%
0.1%
0.2%
0.4%
2.8%
7.2%
13.6%
19.7%
20.9%
17.4%
10.7%
4.8%
1.5%
0.3%
---
21岡本詢也2-2----
0.1%
0.1%
0.2%
0.4%
2.6%
6.7%
13.1%
19.3%
21.1%
17.7%
11.4%
5.1%
1.6%
0.3%
---
23斎藤光寿2-2-----
0.1%
1.2%
3.9%
9.2%
16.1%
20.9%
21.0%
15.5%
8.1%
3.1%
0.7%
---
28菅野晴太2-2-----
0.1%
0.2%
1.3%
4.1%
9.7%
16.6%
21.0%
20.6%
14.9%
7.9%
2.8%
0.6%
---
30高橋健2-2----
0.3%
0.3%
0.5%
1.1%
5.6%
11.6%
18.2%
21.3%
18.8%
12.6%
6.3%
2.3%
0.6%
----
31山城正樹2-2------
0.3%
1.2%
3.8%
9.3%
16.0%
21.6%
21.7%
15.7%
7.6%
2.5%
0.3%
--
32増田晃之郎2-2----
0.1%
0.2%
0.4%
2.5%
6.9%
13.3%
19.5%
21.7%
17.9%
10.9%
4.7%
1.4%
0.3%
---
34長崎天飛2-2-----
0.1%
1.2%
4.0%
8.9%
15.7%
20.7%
21.2%
15.6%
8.4%
3.1%
0.7%
---
35村上邦和2-2-----
0.2%
1.7%
4.9%
10.9%
17.3%
21.3%
19.9%
13.9%
6.9%
2.3%
0.5%
---
36鈴木廉太郎2-2-------
0.2%
0.8%
2.8%
7.5%
15.1%
22.2%
24.1%
17.7%
8.0%
1.6%
--
38生垣諒人2-2---
0.5%
1.6%
0.6%
0.2%
0.9%
1.8%
4.3%
13.9%
20.2%
21.5%
17.1%
10.5%
4.7%
1.6%
0.4%
-----
9是枝直樹1-3----
0.6%
0.1%
1.0%
1.1%
1.3%
0.5%
8.5%
16.6%
21.6%
20.7%
14.9%
8.3%
3.4%
1.0%
0.2%
----
13崎原実地歩1-3-----
0.1%
0.2%
1.7%
4.9%
11.1%
17.6%
20.9%
19.5%
13.4%
7.0%
2.6%
0.7%
---
18藤原悠暉1-3-----
0.1%
0.2%
0.3%
2.4%
6.5%
13.1%
19.0%
21.3%
17.7%
11.2%
5.4%
1.9%
0.4%
---
25上田琥珀1-3----
0.1%
0.2%
0.4%
2.4%
6.6%
13.3%
19.2%
20.8%
18.0%
11.4%
5.3%
1.8%
0.4%
---
26清水将馬1-3-----
0.1%
1.0%
3.5%
8.5%
15.1%
20.6%
21.1%
16.1%
9.0%
3.7%
1.0%
0.2%
--
27関祐人1-3-----
0.6%
2.4%
6.3%
12.5%
19.1%
21.5%
18.4%
11.5%
5.5%
1.6%
0.3%
--
33松本大輝1-3-------
0.4%
1.7%
4.7%
10.6%
17.6%
21.9%
20.6%
14.0%
6.4%
1.8%
0.2%
-
37冨坂碧海1-3----
0.1%
0.2%
0.5%
3.1%
8.1%
14.7%
20.2%
21.1%
16.4%
9.6%
4.2%
1.3%
0.3%
---
40高野潤1-3----
0.2%
0.1%
0.3%
0.9%
4.5%
10.5%
17.4%
21.3%
19.4%
14.0%
7.3%
3.0%
0.9%
0.2%
---
15村田丞0-4-------
0.3%
1.4%
4.2%
9.4%
16.3%
21.1%
20.6%
15.1%
8.0%
2.8%
0.6%
-
22桐山大翔0-4-------
0.6%
2.1%
5.8%
11.9%
18.7%
21.7%
18.8%
12.3%
5.8%
1.8%
0.3%
-