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奨励会三段リーグ勝敗シミュレーション

TOP / 昇級可能性シミュレーション

各棋士の勝数別確率を表示。10万回シミュレーション中の割合。

赤字：直接昇級確率、オレンジ：次点確率、黒字：昇級なし確率

勝数別昇級確率・発生確率

順位名前現在成績18勝17勝16勝15勝14勝13勝12勝11勝10勝9勝8勝7勝6勝5勝4勝3勝2勝1勝0勝
7國井勝太6-0
0.2%
1.7%
6.3%
14.3%
20.0%
1.2%
0.1%
12.5%
6.6%
3.8%
1.0%
2.6%
14.0%
10.1%
4.2%
1.2%
0.2%
--------
1入馬尚輝5-1--
0.5%
2.4%
6.8%
0.4%
9.3%
4.2%
1.7%
2.1%
5.0%
14.4%
0.1%
22.3%
17.0%
9.2%
3.6%
0.9%
0.1%
------
9村田楽5-1-
0.2%
1.9%
6.9%
0.1%
12.3%
2.5%
0.3%
7.1%
8.0%
7.1%
0.4%
2.0%
20.3%
16.8%
9.2%
3.7%
1.0%
0.2%
-------
33山城正樹5-1---
0.2%
0.7%
0.4%
0.1%
0.4%
1.0%
2.7%
9.9%
18.0%
22.9%
21.5%
13.9%
6.1%
1.7%
0.2%
-----
8小窪碧4-1--
0.7%
3.0%
7.2%
1.0%
0.1%
5.8%
5.7%
4.4%
0.5%
2.2%
18.7%
21.4%
15.9%
8.6%
3.6%
1.0%
0.2%
------
19古井丈大次点4-1-
0.2%
1.6%
5.7%
0.2%
9.3%
3.1%
0.8%
3.9%
6.4%
10.1%
0.7%
21.8%
18.2%
10.9%
5.0%
1.6%
0.4%
-------
2川村悠人4-2--
0.1%
1.2%
4.5%
0.3%
6.4%
3.8%
1.9%
1.3%
3.7%
14.8%
23.2%
19.5%
12.0%
5.2%
1.6%
0.4%
------
22渋江朔矢4-2---
0.4%
1.4%
0.6%
0.2%
0.9%
1.8%
4.1%
0.2%
14.2%
21.2%
22.4%
17.3%
9.8%
3.9%
1.1%
0.2%
-----
29関祐人4-2---
0.1%
0.6%
0.2%
0.4%
0.9%
1.9%
8.7%
16.2%
22.2%
21.9%
15.5%
7.9%
2.7%
0.5%
-----
32村田丞4-2----
0.2%
0.1%
0.3%
0.7%
3.9%
9.7%
17.3%
22.7%
21.7%
14.6%
6.6%
1.8%
0.2%
----
34菅野晴太4-2----
0.4%
0.2%
0.2%
0.7%
1.7%
7.2%
14.8%
21.5%
22.6%
17.2%
9.2%
3.3%
0.7%
-----
37花村晃斉4-2---
0.8%
2.3%
1.0%
0.3%
1.1%
2.4%
6.4%
0.1%
17.3%
22.7%
21.2%
14.1%
7.1%
2.4%
0.6%
------
23崎原実地歩3-1---
0.4%
1.2%
0.5%
0.2%
0.8%
1.4%
3.0%
0.1%
11.0%
17.8%
21.1%
19.2%
13.1%
6.9%
2.4%
0.7%
-----
10木村友亮3-2---
0.4%
1.6%
0.4%
1.4%
2.1%
2.7%
0.1%
0.7%
12.6%
19.8%
22.0%
17.9%
11.0%
4.9%
1.6%
0.3%
-----
12廣森航汰3-2---
0.2%
0.7%
0.2%
0.9%
1.2%
1.5%
0.4%
8.2%
15.9%
21.1%
21.0%
15.6%
8.6%
3.4%
0.9%
0.1%
----
14鳥巣友希3-2---
0.5%
1.7%
0.6%
0.2%
1.4%
2.3%
3.4%
0.5%
13.7%
20.6%
21.8%
17.2%
10.0%
4.4%
1.3%
0.3%
-----
39上田琥珀3-2---
0.3%
1.1%
0.6%
0.2%
0.6%
1.4%
3.9%
12.5%
19.3%
21.9%
18.7%
11.6%
5.5%
1.8%
0.4%
-----
3北村啓太郎3-3---
0.1%
1.0%
0.1%
2.1%
1.5%
1.0%
0.5%
1.7%
9.5%
19.7%
23.2%
19.8%
12.1%
5.4%
1.8%
0.4%
-----
5吉田桂悟3-3---
0.2%
1.9%
0.2%
3.3%
2.4%
1.7%
0.6%
2.0%
12.9%
22.4%
22.6%
16.5%
8.7%
3.3%
0.9%
0.2%
-----
6福田晴紀3-3----
0.2%
0.4%
0.3%
0.2%
0.2%
0.5%
2.9%
9.0%
16.4%
22.1%
21.8%
15.3%
7.7%
2.5%
0.5%
----
15高坂直矢3-3----
0.3%
0.1%
0.5%
0.8%
1.2%
0.2%
7.1%
15.1%
21.4%
22.5%
16.7%
9.3%
3.6%
0.9%
0.1%
----
16吉田響太3-3----
0.5%
0.2%
0.6%
1.0%
1.7%
0.3%
9.0%
17.2%
22.5%
21.5%
14.9%
7.3%
2.5%
0.6%
-----
17宮原暁月3-3----
0.4%
0.1%
0.5%
0.9%
1.4%
0.2%
8.0%
15.7%
22.1%
22.1%
15.9%
8.5%
3.1%
0.7%
0.1%
----
18桐山大翔3-3-----
0.1%
0.2%
1.7%
5.6%
12.3%
19.5%
23.2%
19.4%
11.7%
4.8%
1.1%
0.1%
---
24斎藤光寿3-3-----
0.1%
1.2%
4.1%
9.9%
17.7%
22.9%
21.6%
14.3%
6.3%
1.7%
0.2%
---
26祝井優希3-3----
0.2%
0.3%
0.5%
0.9%
5.1%
12.1%
19.5%
22.7%
19.4%
12.1%
5.3%
1.5%
0.3%
----
27戸川悠二郎3-3-----
0.1%
0.3%
1.9%
5.8%
13.0%
20.1%
23.1%
19.0%
11.1%
4.2%
1.0%
0.1%
---
28岡本詢也3-3-----
0.1%
0.2%
0.3%
2.6%
7.6%
15.3%
21.6%
22.4%
16.9%
8.9%
3.2%
0.6%
----
30山口裕誠3-3----
0.1%
0.2%
0.5%
3.4%
9.1%
16.6%
22.1%
21.7%
15.3%
7.6%
2.5%
0.5%
----
4永井大2-3----
0.7%
1.8%
1.2%
0.7%
0.4%
1.3%
7.9%
17.2%
22.0%
20.7%
14.5%
7.5%
2.9%
0.8%
0.1%
----
13藤原悠暉2-4-----
1.2%
4.5%
10.8%
18.5%
22.6%
20.5%
13.4%
6.1%
1.8%
0.3%
---
20是枝直樹2-4-----
0.1%
0.3%
0.6%
4.3%
11.0%
19.0%
22.8%
20.5%
13.0%
5.9%
1.9%
0.5%
----
21清水将馬1-5------
0.2%
1.2%
4.3%
10.8%
18.5%
22.8%
20.5%
13.4%
5.9%
1.9%
0.3%
--
38高橋健1-5------
0.3%
1.8%
5.9%
13.0%
20.0%
22.7%
18.6%
11.2%
4.7%
1.4%
0.2%
--
35鈴木廉太郎0-5---------
0.3%
1.3%
4.0%
9.7%
17.6%
23.5%
22.4%
14.5%
5.6%
0.9%
11村上邦和0-6--------
0.4%
2.0%
5.8%
12.8%
20.4%
23.4%
19.0%
10.9%
4.2%
1.0%
-
25増田晃之郎0-6--------
0.2%
1.0%
3.7%
9.3%
16.9%
22.6%
22.1%
15.1%
6.9%
1.9%
0.2%
31松本大輝0-6--------
0.2%
1.1%
3.9%
9.7%
17.1%
22.8%
21.6%
14.8%
6.7%
1.9%
0.2%
36長崎天飛0-6--------
0.5%
2.2%
6.4%
13.5%
20.7%
22.8%
18.3%
10.5%
4.1%
0.9%
-