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奨励会三段リーグ勝敗シミュレーション

TOP / 昇級可能性シミュレーション

各棋士の勝数別確率を表示。10万回シミュレーション中の割合。

赤字：直接昇級確率、オレンジ：次点確率、黒字：昇級なし確率

勝数別昇級確率・発生確率

順位名前現在成績16勝15勝14勝13勝12勝11勝10勝9勝8勝7勝6勝5勝4勝3勝2勝1勝0勝
19古井丈大次点12-2
15.4%
32.7%
4.1%
0.1%
10.4%
13.4%
9.0%
0.1%
0.9%
12.0%
1.8%
------------
8小窪碧11-3-
12.7%
0.4%
18.7%
12.3%
4.5%
1.2%
5.8%
27.5%
14.6%
2.3%
-----------
7國井勝太10-2
5.0%
19.4%
0.2%
22.8%
7.4%
1.4%
2.1%
6.3%
18.7%
13.0%
3.3%
0.4%
----------
9村田楽10-2
6.3%
21.0%
1.5%
13.2%
13.3%
5.9%
0.4%
3.1%
21.6%
10.9%
2.5%
0.2%
----------
2川村悠人10-4--
9.5%
4.0%
0.8%
3.7%
11.4%
21.4%
0.4%
33.5%
13.2%
1.9%
----------
14鳥巣友希10-4--
3.0%
5.4%
6.5%
0.1%
1.3%
34.9%
33.3%
13.4%
2.1%
----------
4永井大9-5---
1.0%
3.5%
13.2%
0.1%
39.3%
31.2%
10.5%
1.1%
---------
5吉田桂悟9-5---
0.9%
3.5%
15.3%
40.1%
29.8%
9.4%
1.0%
---------
16吉田響太9-5---
0.2%
6.4%
26.0%
38.0%
23.8%
5.7%
---------
22渋江朔矢8-4--
0.2%
0.7%
1.0%
0.2%
10.6%
25.2%
31.2%
21.8%
7.9%
1.3%
--------
27戸川悠二郎8-4--
0.2%
0.3%
4.9%
16.8%
29.7%
29.2%
15.3%
3.3%
--------
20是枝直樹8-6----
11.6%
34.3%
36.1%
15.6%
2.5%
--------
12廣森航汰7-5---
0.1%
1.4%
9.4%
24.3%
32.2%
22.9%
8.4%
1.3%
-------
23崎原実地歩7-5---
1.4%
8.9%
23.2%
31.3%
23.9%
9.7%
1.6%
-------
28岡本詢也7-5---
0.4%
4.1%
14.9%
28.5%
30.5%
17.4%
4.2%
-------
3北村啓太郎7-6----
4.8%
20.4%
33.6%
27.7%
11.6%
1.9%
-------
6福田晴紀7-6----
2.3%
13.4%
30.5%
33.1%
17.1%
3.6%
-------
10木村友亮7-7-----
8.3%
29.1%
37.4%
20.8%
4.4%
-------
15高坂直矢7-7-----
11.9%
33.4%
35.6%
16.3%
2.8%
-------
1入馬尚輝7-8------
7.8%
31.9%
42.2%
18.1%
-------
21清水将馬6-6----
3.4%
15.9%
29.9%
29.7%
16.1%
4.4%
0.5%
------
29関祐人6-6----
0.7%
5.5%
17.9%
30.4%
28.7%
14.1%
2.8%
------
30山口裕誠6-6----
0.7%
5.7%
18.6%
30.8%
28.1%
13.4%
2.7%
------
32村田丞6-6----
0.6%
4.9%
16.8%
29.8%
29.4%
15.2%
3.3%
------
17宮原暁月6-7-----
8.9%
28.6%
35.4%
20.5%
6.0%
0.6%
------
13藤原悠暉6-8------
7.4%
27.3%
38.0%
22.4%
5.0%
------
18桐山大翔6-8------
3.9%
19.6%
36.9%
30.4%
9.2%
------
24斎藤光寿6-8------
2.4%
15.0%
35.2%
34.8%
12.5%
------
39上田琥珀6-8------
5.4%
24.3%
38.8%
25.5%
6.0%
------
33山城正樹6-9-------
2.0%
15.7%
43.0%
39.3%
------
26祝井優希5-7-----
1.1%
7.4%
21.3%
31.8%
25.8%
10.8%
1.8%
-----
34菅野晴太5-7-----
1.0%
7.4%
21.3%
31.7%
25.9%
10.9%
1.8%
-----
37花村晃斉5-9-------
4.0%
20.4%
37.6%
29.4%
8.5%
-----
31松本大輝3-9-------
0.4%
3.4%
13.1%
27.0%
31.5%
19.6%
5.0%
---
38高橋健3-9-------
1.4%
8.5%
22.7%
31.4%
24.3%
10.0%
1.7%
---
25増田晃之郎2-11---------
0.7%
6.1%
21.0%
35.1%
28.1%
8.9%
--
11村上邦和2-12----------
2.2%
14.8%
34.5%
35.2%
13.2%
--
36長崎天飛1-11---------
0.8%
6.0%
18.5%
30.8%
27.8%
13.5%
2.6%
-
35鈴木廉太郎0-14------------
0.4%
4.7%
21.4%
42.7%
30.8%