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奨励会三段リーグ勝敗シミュレーション

TOP / 昇級可能性シミュレーション

各棋士の勝数別確率を表示。10万回シミュレーション中の割合。

赤字：直接昇級確率、オレンジ：次点確率、黒字：昇級なし確率

勝数別昇級確率・発生確率

順位名前現在成績18勝17勝16勝15勝14勝13勝12勝11勝10勝9勝8勝7勝6勝5勝4勝3勝2勝1勝0勝
1入馬尚輝2-0--
0.3%
1.4%
4.0%
0.2%
6.2%
2.2%
0.8%
2.3%
3.9%
9.2%
0.2%
19.0%
19.3%
15.1%
9.3%
4.4%
1.7%
0.4%
-----
4永井大2-0-
0.5%
2.3%
6.6%
12.1%
0.6%
12.1%
4.7%
1.8%
2.4%
4.8%
13.2%
0.1%
17.3%
11.6%
6.1%
2.4%
0.8%
0.2%
------
7國井勝太2-0-
0.2%
1.2%
3.9%
8.1%
0.9%
0.1%
7.7%
4.8%
2.9%
1.2%
3.2%
15.1%
19.6%
15.0%
9.3%
4.4%
1.6%
0.4%
------
9村田楽2-0-
0.2%
1.0%
3.3%
6.7%
1.1%
0.2%
5.7%
4.8%
3.9%
0.6%
2.3%
16.0%
19.9%
15.9%
10.2%
5.2%
2.1%
0.6%
0.1%
-----
14鳥巣友希2-0--
0.4%
1.8%
4.0%
0.8%
0.2%
3.3%
3.5%
3.7%
0.3%
1.1%
14.7%
19.8%
18.8%
14.0%
8.1%
3.7%
1.3%
0.3%
-----
19古井丈大次点2-0-
0.3%
1.5%
4.7%
0.1%
8.2%
1.9%
0.4%
4.7%
5.3%
6.6%
0.3%
1.1%
18.7%
18.9%
13.8%
8.1%
3.5%
1.3%
0.3%
------
24斎藤光寿2-0----
0.3%
0.4%
0.5%
0.8%
0.1%
4.1%
9.0%
15.1%
19.2%
19.6%
15.5%
9.5%
4.1%
1.3%
0.2%
---
28岡本詢也2-0--
0.1%
0.6%
1.5%
0.5%
0.2%
1.0%
1.6%
3.0%
0.3%
11.0%
16.5%
19.8%
18.3%
13.5%
7.5%
3.3%
1.0%
0.2%
----
32村田丞2-0----
0.2%
0.2%
0.3%
0.5%
3.1%
7.3%
12.8%
18.2%
20.4%
17.5%
11.5%
5.6%
1.9%
0.4%
---
33山城正樹2-0----
0.1%
0.2%
0.2%
0.5%
2.7%
6.6%
12.3%
17.7%
20.4%
18.3%
12.2%
6.0%
2.2%
0.4%
---
39上田琥珀2-0-
0.1%
0.7%
2.3%
4.5%
1.3%
0.5%
2.0%
3.3%
6.9%
0.3%
16.9%
20.2%
17.8%
12.4%
6.7%
2.9%
0.9%
0.2%
-----
10木村友亮1-0--
0.3%
1.2%
3.1%
0.5%
0.1%
3.0%
2.7%
2.5%
0.4%
1.4%
11.9%
18.3%
18.9%
15.8%
10.7%
5.9%
2.3%
0.8%
0.2%
----
2川村悠人1-1---
0.5%
1.8%
0.1%
3.3%
1.3%
0.6%
1.3%
2.4%
7.0%
0.1%
16.3%
19.9%
18.5%
13.7%
7.9%
3.6%
1.2%
0.3%
----
5吉田桂悟1-1--
0.4%
2.2%
5.9%
0.6%
6.6%
3.9%
2.2%
1.4%
3.5%
13.3%
20.3%
17.7%
11.9%
6.2%
2.7%
0.8%
0.2%
-----
6福田晴紀1-1----
0.3%
0.6%
0.3%
0.2%
0.2%
0.6%
2.5%
7.4%
13.1%
18.3%
19.8%
16.8%
11.4%
5.7%
2.1%
0.5%
---
8小窪碧1-1--
0.1%
0.8%
2.5%
0.4%
3.0%
2.4%
1.8%
0.6%
1.8%
10.9%
18.4%
19.9%
16.8%
11.4%
5.9%
2.4%
0.8%
0.2%
----
12廣森航汰1-1---
0.2%
0.7%
0.1%
1.0%
0.9%
0.9%
0.2%
0.6%
6.2%
12.5%
17.9%
19.9%
17.3%
11.8%
6.3%
2.5%
0.8%
0.1%
---
13藤原悠暉1-1---
0.2%
0.8%
0.1%
1.0%
1.1%
1.0%
0.1%
0.6%
6.7%
13.2%
18.1%
19.9%
16.9%
11.4%
5.8%
2.3%
0.7%
0.1%
---
15高坂直矢1-1---
0.4%
1.3%
0.3%
1.2%
1.4%
1.9%
0.1%
0.5%
9.1%
15.7%
19.6%
18.9%
14.4%
8.8%
4.2%
1.6%
0.4%
----
20是枝直樹1-1--
0.2%
0.9%
2.4%
0.7%
0.2%
1.8%
2.3%
3.6%
0.1%
0.5%
13.3%
19.0%
19.8%
16.3%
10.6%
5.4%
2.2%
0.6%
0.1%
----
22渋江朔矢1-1---
0.1%
0.5%
0.2%
0.5%
0.7%
1.2%
0.2%
5.8%
11.6%
17.0%
19.9%
18.0%
12.8%
7.1%
2.9%
0.9%
0.2%
---
23崎原実地歩1-1----
0.3%
0.3%
0.4%
0.7%
0.1%
3.9%
9.0%
14.6%
19.1%
19.4%
15.7%
9.6%
4.5%
1.6%
0.4%
---
26祝井優希1-1---
0.3%
1.1%
0.3%
0.8%
1.1%
1.9%
0.3%
8.6%
14.7%
19.0%
19.3%
15.8%
9.5%
4.9%
1.7%
0.5%
----
29関祐人1-1----
0.2%
0.2%
0.3%
0.5%
2.8%
6.9%
12.6%
17.8%
20.0%
17.5%
11.8%
6.2%
2.3%
0.6%
0.1%
--
30山口裕誠1-1----
0.3%
0.3%
0.5%
0.8%
0.1%
4.2%
9.0%
14.9%
19.3%
19.4%
15.3%
9.4%
4.3%
1.5%
0.3%
---
34菅野晴太1-1-----
0.1%
0.2%
1.5%
4.5%
8.9%
14.7%
19.5%
19.6%
15.7%
9.5%
4.0%
1.2%
0.2%
--
37花村晃斉1-1---
0.4%
1.3%
0.4%
0.2%
0.8%
1.4%
2.8%
0.2%
10.3%
16.3%
19.7%
18.5%
13.9%
8.2%
3.7%
1.3%
0.3%
----
35鈴木廉太郎0-1------
0.4%
1.5%
4.1%
8.7%
14.5%
19.3%
20.3%
16.3%
9.7%
3.9%
1.0%
0.1%
3北村啓太郎0-2----
0.4%
1.0%
0.4%
0.2%
0.5%
1.0%
3.1%
9.7%
15.8%
19.6%
19.0%
14.5%
8.7%
4.0%
1.4%
0.4%
---
11村上邦和0-2----
0.1%
0.3%
0.2%
0.2%
0.2%
2.1%
6.1%
11.6%
17.0%
20.2%
18.1%
12.8%
6.9%
2.9%
0.9%
0.2%
--
16吉田響太0-2----
0.3%
0.4%
0.5%
0.7%
0.2%
4.3%
9.7%
15.6%
19.5%
18.9%
14.7%
8.9%
4.2%
1.4%
0.4%
---
17宮原暁月0-2----
0.2%
0.4%
0.4%
0.4%
0.2%
3.4%
8.4%
14.3%
18.8%
19.9%
16.0%
10.0%
4.9%
1.8%
0.5%
0.1%
--
18桐山大翔0-2------
0.3%
1.2%
3.5%
8.0%
13.7%
18.6%
20.3%
16.8%
10.7%
4.9%
1.6%
0.3%
-
21清水将馬0-2----
0.1%
0.2%
0.3%
2.1%
5.8%
11.2%
16.8%
19.8%
18.3%
13.2%
7.5%
3.3%
1.0%
0.2%
--
25増田晃之郎0-2-----
0.7%
2.4%
5.8%
11.3%
16.8%
20.0%
18.2%
13.3%
7.4%
3.0%
0.8%
0.1%
-
27戸川悠二郎0-2------
0.4%
1.6%
4.5%
9.3%
15.2%
19.4%
19.8%
15.5%
9.0%
3.8%
1.2%
0.2%
-
31松本大輝0-2-----
0.2%
1.2%
3.3%
7.7%
13.6%
18.5%
19.8%
16.7%
10.8%
5.4%
2.1%
0.5%
--
36長崎天飛0-2----
0.1%
0.3%
1.9%
5.2%
10.3%
16.0%
19.5%
18.7%
14.2%
8.4%
3.5%
1.2%
0.3%
--
38高橋健0-2---
0.1%
0.3%
0.1%
0.3%
0.5%
1.2%
5.5%
11.1%
16.9%
19.8%
18.2%
13.3%
7.6%
3.3%
1.1%
0.3%
---