#名人挑戦1名(プレーオフあり)、降級2名
| 順位 | 名前 | 勝 | 負 | 挑戦 | 挑戦PO | 降級 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 藤井聡太/糸谷哲郎 | 0 | 0 | 4.2% | 7.9% | 10.2% |
| 2 | 永瀬拓矢 | 0 | 0 | 17.9% | 18.3% | 2.2% |
| 3 | 豊島将之 | 0 | 0 | 2.0% | 4.8% | 19.2% |
| 4 | 近藤誠也 | 0 | 0 | 2.9% | 6.0% | 17.5% |
| 5 | 増田康宏 | 0 | 0 | 4.9% | 8.7% | 12.4% |
| 6 | 佐々木勇気 | 0 | 0 | 2.3% | 5.2% | 24.0% |
| 7 | 千田翔太 | 0 | 0 | 0.5% | 1.7% | 51.9% |
| 8 | 佐藤天彦 | 0 | 0 | 1.9% | 4.4% | 33.9% |
| 9 | 広瀬章人 | 0 | 0 | 3.9% | 7.7% | 24.4% |
| 10 | 伊藤匠 | 0 | 0 | 24.9% | 20.7% | 4.4% |
各棋士の勝数別確率を表示。10万回シミュレーション中の全体に対する割合。
赤字:挑戦確率、青字:PO確率、黒字:残留確率、オレンジ:降級確率
| 順位 | 名前 | 現在成績 | 9勝 | 8勝 | 7勝 | 6勝 | 5勝 | 4勝 | 3勝 | 2勝 | 1勝 | 0勝 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 藤井聡太/糸谷哲郎 | 0-0 | 0.2% | 1.6% 0.2% 0.01% | 2.3% 3.1% 1.5% | 0.2% 4.4% 11.9% | 0.1% 25.0% | 24.9% | 13.5% 2.8% | 0.8% 5.7% | 1.5% | 0.2% |
| 2 | 永瀬拓矢 | 0-0 | 1.8% | 7.9% 1.2% 0.1% | 7.8% 9.0% 4.1% | 0.4% 8.0% 19.2% | 0.2% 22.4% | 12.4% | 3.3% 1.1% | 0.1% 0.9% | 0.2% | 0.01% |
| 3 | 豊島将之 | 0-0 | 0.1% | 0.6% 0.1% 0.01% | 1.3% 1.7% 0.8% | 0.1% 3.0% 8.1% | 0.1% 21.0% | 26.5% 0.01% | 16.3% 5.3% | 1.2% 10.0% | 3.4% | 0.4% |
| 4 | 近藤誠也 | 0-0 | 0.1% | 0.9% 0.1% 0.01% | 1.7% 2.2% 1.0% | 0.1% 3.6% 9.6% | 0.1% 23.0% | 26.3% 0.01% | 13.0% 6.3% | 0.7% 8.4% | 2.5% | 0.3% |
| 5 | 増田康宏 | 0-0 | 0.2% | 1.8% 0.3% 0.01% | 2.7% 3.5% 1.8% | 0.2% 4.8% 13.4% | 0.2% 25.8% | 23.8% 0.1% | 8.8% 5.8% | 0.4% 5.2% | 1.3% | 0.1% |
| 6 | 佐々木勇気 | 0-0 | 0.1% | 0.7% 0.1% 0.01% | 1.4% 1.8% 0.9% | 0.1% 3.1% 8.6% | 0.1% 21.9% | 25.8% 0.3% | 10.9% 10.1% | 0.5% 10.1% | 3.1% | 0.4% |
| 7 | 千田翔太 | 0-0 | 0.01% | 0.1% 0.01% | 0.3% 0.4% 0.2% | 0.1% 1.2% 2.9% | 0.1% 11.6% | 21.6% 0.6% | 9.3% 18.0% | 0.3% 21.2% | 9.9% | 2.1% |
| 8 | 佐藤天彦 | 0-0 | 0.01% | 0.5% 0.1% 0.01% | 1.2% 1.4% 0.7% | 0.1% 2.8% 7.5% | 0.1% 20.7% | 24.9% 1.4% | 5.9% 16.3% | 0.1% 12.0% | 3.7% | 0.5% |
| 9 | 広瀬章人 | 0-0 | 0.2% | 1.3% 0.2% 0.01% | 2.2% 3.0% 1.4% | 0.2% 4.3% 12.0% | 0.1% 24.7% | 22.7% 2.4% | 3.2% 13.2% | 0.01% 6.9% | 1.6% | 0.2% |
| 10 | 伊藤匠 | 0-0 | 2.9% | 11.3% 1.3% 0.1% | 10.2% 10.3% 4.0% | 0.5% 8.9% 18.2% | 0.2% 19.4% | 7.7% 1.4% | 0.4% 2.4% | 0.6% | 0.1% | - |